Korene's Blog

Last Week in Review: Historic news out of Europe, plus Stocks make history.

Forecast for the Week: The Fed meets, and Friday brings big Job news-will the numbers give the markets a scare?

View: Changes are coming to the Home Affordable Refinance Program. Find out what this means for homeowners.

Last Week in Review

Trick or treat? Last week, there was big news out of Europe, as an agreement was reached to help keep Greece from going into default. But will this deal mean a frightful time is ahead for Bonds and home loan rates? Read on for more details.

On Thursday, the world was cheering on the news that a deal in Europe was reached, with private banks and other holders of Greek debt accepting a 50% haircut on their principal investment. Once the write down takes place, Banks who are holding Greek debt will have to recapitalize themselves by year-end, and government support will be available to fill voids that private money won't fill. In addition, the Economic Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) rescue fund, which currently has $443 Billion in holdings, will be expanded and leveraged to $1 Trillion Euros or $1.4 Trillion US Dollars.

So the agreement is together…but like any effective plan, it now has to be put into action. And as this rolls out, the financial markets will be watching every step. When the sentiment is positive, like it was the day the plan was announced, Stock markets could benefit as investors would seek to take advantage of gains.

In fact, the Stock markets are set to have their biggest monthly gains on record as October comes to an end. The closely watched S&P 500 Index is up 13.5% for the largest increase since October of 1974, while the Dow Jones advance of 12% is the biggest gain since January of 1987. Optimism surrounding the European crisis, positive economic data and better than expected earnings reports have fueled the rally.

So what does all of this mean for Bonds and home loan rates? The deal that was reached in Europe is historic, and good news for the world's economies overall. However, the plan has yet to be put into action-and then it has to work. And if there are hiccups or issues along the way, Bonds and home loan rates could benefit with some renewed safe haven trading. We saw a little of that late last week, when Friday's less than stellar Italian Bond auction reminded the world that the European debt crisis is not yet entirely resolved.

The most important thing to keep in mind is that now remains a great time to purchase or refinance a home, as home loan rates are still near historic lows. Let me know if I can answer any questions at all for you or your clients.

Forecast for the Week

Major economic data is set to impact trading behavior this week…with manufacturing and employment leading the way:

  • Manufacturing headlines will be in the spotlight this week with the Chicago PMI on Monday, followed by the ISM Index on Tuesday. Worker Productivity is also set for release on Thursday.
  • The ADP Employment Report will be the first of two key releases to gauge the labor markets. Watch for ADP to be released on Wednesday.
  • As usual, Weekly Jobless Claims will be delivered on Thursday. Last week's report showed that people filing for first-time benefits still remain above the 400,000 level.
  • Friday's Jobs Report data will garner the most attention as the Labor Department reveals how many new jobs were created in October. Last month's gain of 103,000 new workers was positive.

In addition to the reports above, the Fed Meeting begins on Tuesday and ends Wednesday with the Fed's monetary policy statement. The housing markets will be scrutinizing that statement for any rhetoric that involves possible new purchases of Mortgage Backed Securities to keep home loan rates near record lows. Recently, several Fed members have stated that the Fed needs to support the housing markets and not to see elevated borrowing costs.

Remember: Weak economic news normally causes money to flow out of Stocks and into Bonds, helping Bonds and home loan rates improve, while strong economic news normally has the opposite result.

As you can see in the chart below, Bonds and home loan rates worsened in October as Stocks had one of their best months on record. But rates remain near historic levels, and I'll be watching closely to see what happens as we move into November.

Chart: Fannie Mae 3.5% Mortgage Bond (Friday Oct 28, 2011)
Japanese Candlestick Chart
The Mortgage Market Guide View...

The President's New Plan for Homeowners

You may have heard that President Obama plans to open up refinancing to more homeowners who are underwater. If you've been hearing questions about this program or are just curious about what the plan involves, here are some of the major highlights:

What's Really New?

First, it's important to realize that the president's proposal is not a new program, but a revision to the current Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). However there are some big changes that you can let people know if they ask you.

Refinance…No Matter How Underwater

Now homeowners can refinance no matter how underwater they are! Before homeowners could only refinance if they were 25% or less underwater, and even then many banks only let people who were 5% or less underwater refinance.

No Appraisal Necessary?

With the program's revision, it's possible that an appraisal won't have to be performed. That's great news because it can help people save time and money. But this is only the case if Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac can electronically estimate the value through their valuation models.

But Keep in Mind

These updates to HARP apply only to people whose mortgage is currently secured by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac...and whose loan was securitized by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac prior to May 31, 2009. So the chances are that people who have refinanced since May 2009 will not qualify to refinance under the HARP revision.

What's Next?

As of now, the revisions to HARP have been proposed by President Obama and the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which regulates Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This directive has been given to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and they now have until November 15, 2011 to give guidance and details regarding how these changes will be run.

If you or someone you know has a question about what these changes mean, call or email me anytime. I'm always happy to help.

Economic Calendar for the Week of October 31 - November 04

Date
ET
Economic Report
For
Estimate
Actual
Prior
Impact
Mon. October 31
09:45
Chicago PMI
Oct
58.9
58.4
60.4
HIGH
Tue. November 01
10:00
ISM Index
Oct
52.1
Â
51.6
HIGH
Wed. November 02
08:15
ADP National Employment Report
Oct
100K
Â
91K
HIGH
Wed. November 02
02:15
FOMC Meeting
Nov
NA
Â
NA
HIGH
Thu. November 03
08:30
Jobless Claims (Initial)
10/29
402K
Â
402K
Moderate
Thu. November 03
08:30
Productivity
Q3
2.8%
Â
-0.7%
Moderate
Thu. November 03
10:00
ISM Services Index
Oct
53.7
Â
53.0
Moderate
Fri. November 04
08:30
Non-farm Payrolls
Oct
88K
Â
103K
HIGH
Fri. November 04
08:30
Unemployment Rate
Oct
9.1%
Â
9.1%
HIGH
Fri. November 04
08:30
Hourly Earnings
Oct
0.2%
Â
0.2%
HIGH
Fri. November 04
08:30
Average Work Week
Oct
34.3
Â
34.3
HIGH

The material contained in this newsletter is provided by a third party to real estate, financial services and other professionals only for their use and the use of their clients. The material provided is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment and/or mortgage advice. Although the material is deemed to be accurate and reliable, we do not make any representations as to its accuracy or completeness and as a result, there is no guarantee it is without errors.

As your mortgage professional, I am sending you the MMG WEEKLY because I am committed to keeping you updated on the economic events that impact interest rates and how they may affect you.

Posted by Troy Landrum on October 31st, 2011 11:25 AMPost a Comment (0)

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"KLCSLOANTEAM and Korene Clopine-Seaman are a mortgage team that invests itself with their client's and referral partners business. They are just not providing mortgage information, education and services, they have built relationships in our business and invested in providing services that helps us deliver our core mission to provide the services that meets our client's needs in line with our company culture and values"

 
W. J. Bradley Mortgage Capital LLC. is a direct mortgage lender with lending authorization for Conventional, HUD, FHA, VA, USDA, and Jumbo real estate loans lending with offices in various locations focusing on providing  to the people in the communities we serve throughout the United States mostly in the Southwest. We are available to help borrowers achieve the dream of home ownership and assist them as they take advantage of today’s real estate investment opportunities and mortgage rates.

The KLCSLoanTeam and the support staff are highly trained in all of the various loan products currently available.  We are well prepared to answer any questions you may have about buying a home or to assist you with analyzing your current home loan. Simply put, we are here to help you make informed right-fit mortgage decisions.

The customer experience is our number one priority. Communication is a very important part of our business model and our unique loan process, and our investment in technology reflects just that. We have mastered the ability to effectively communicate with all parties involved on each and every transaction keeping everyone up-to-date from the first phone call through funding. Our goal is to use all of our resources to make your transaction as smooth and efficient as possible.

With the experience, resources and exceptional service standards, you will see why we deliver…simply better home loans as we are working to serve our customers, clients, and referral partners.  This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. Some products may not be available in all states.

W J Bradley Mortgage Capital LLC
NMLS# 3233
9237 East Via De Ventura, Suite 100
Scottsdale, AZ 85258
Direct Office Phone:(623) 340-0934
Fax: (623) 218-1807
AZ License # BK-0903998;
Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act RML# 4131002;
FHA Approved

NMLS consumer access: www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org/EntityDetails.aspx/COMPANY/3233
.


*Korene L. Clopine-Seaman is working with and as the Team Manager of KLCSLoanTeam.  She is licensed to originate mortgages in Arizona and California:
AZ LO-0916745
CA: DOC-218520
 

© 2012 W.J. Bradley Mortgage Capital, LLC. 6465 Greenwood Plaza Blvd, Suite 500, Centennial, CO 80111 Phone #303-825-5670. NMLS ID 3233. Trade/service marks are the property of W.J. Bradley Mortgage Capital, LLC. This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. Some products may not be available in all states. WJB is not acting on behalf of or at the direction of HUD/FHA or the federal government.

AZ License # BK-0903998; Licensed by the Department of Corporations under the California Residential Mortgage Lending Act RML# 4131002; To check the license status of your CO Mortgage Broker, visit www.dora.state.co.us/real-estate/index.htm; Florida Mortgage Lender Servicer license #MLD738; ID Mortgage Broker License No. MBL-7766; IL Residential Mortgage Licensee – License #MB.6760738, 6465 Greenwood Plaza Blvd., Suite 500, Centennial, CO 80111; MN Residential Mortgage Originator License No. MN-MO-3233; NV Mortgage Banker License No. 2061; NV Mortgage Broker License No. 504; NM Mortgage Loan Company and Loan Broker Act Reg. No. 01856; OK Mortgage Broker – License No. MB001365; OR Mortgage Lender License No. ML-776; TX Mortgage Banker Reg. No. 74182; UT Mortgage Lender Company License No. 5495659-NMLC; Utah Consumer Credit Notification and Utah Residential First Mortgage Notification regulated by the Utah Department of Financial Institutions; Vermont Lender License #6341; WA Consumer Loan License No. CL-3233; Wisconsin Mortgage Banker License No. 699991. NMLS consumer access:

www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org/EntityDetails.aspx/COMPANY/3233.


Trade/service marks are the property of W.J. Bradley Mortgage Capital LLC. Restrictions apply. All rights reserved. Some products may not be available in all states. WJB is not acting on behalf of or at the direction of HUD/FHA or the federal government.  This is not a commitment to lend. Restrictions apply.  All website Trade/service marks not related specifically to W.J.Bradley Mortgage Capital LLC are the sole and separate property of KLCSLoanTeam and Korene L. Clopine-Seaman.    Korene L. Clopine-Seaman is employed by W.J.Bradley Mortgage Capital LLC as a mortgage originator.  All KLCSLoanTeam © 2012 rights reserved. 

Korene L. Clopine-Seaman  is not acting on behalf of or at the direction of HUD/FHA or the federal government.© 2012 NMLS ID 218520.


W J Bradley Mortgage Capital LLC Attn: Korene Clopine-Seaman 9237 E. Via de Ventura Blvd Ste 100 Scottsdale, AZ 85258
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